Bayesian Team Support™—A Scientific Solution to Decision Making with Uncertainty

Accord™ Decision Tool Suite > Underlying Technology

Bayesian Team Support (BTS™) has been under development by Robust Decisions for over a decade. Funded by the Department of Defense, NASA and The National Science Foundation (NSF), BTS applies the latest in Artificial Intelligence (AI) methods for managing the decision-making process. The breakthroughs developed in this research are now patented and provide the foundation for Robust Decisions' products and services.

BTS is the first commercialized team decision-support method based on modern AI technology. Application of the BTS in business allows leaders to:

Manage all available incomplete, uncertain, evolving and conflicting information
Capture qualitative and quantitative information through an user-affable graphical interface
Gather the subjective and objective information from your entire team
Fuse all available information into clear decision measures, including:
- Levels of satisfaction for each alternative from multiple viewpoints
- Probability of success of each alternative
- Decision risk
- Level of consensus
- What to do next
Provide a consistent and rational decision strategy
Record the logic trail in a database for reuse and review
Automatically generate decision reports

Other methods can not synthesize team expertise nor take into account uncertain and incomplete data. And no other alternative is as straightforward and simple to use.

Accord is built on the patented BTS that provides decision support based on the best available information, even if incomplete or uncertain, and delivers results that include risk, probability of success, and 'what to do next' analyses. Bayesian decision theory is the well-founded computational theory for applying general knowledge to individual situations characterized by uncertainty and risk. RDI applies these principles to complex, information rich computer-mediated tasks. As classical statistics revolutionized the discovery of knowledge in the early 20th century, so Bayesian decision theory is revolutionizing the application of knowledge in the 21st. This revolution is already underway: Bayesian methods also form the foundation for other recently developed software applications including:

Most major anti-spam tools
All speech recognition tools
Medical diagnosis
Counter terrorism defenses
Robotics and navigation

For more details on the Bayesian methods used in Accord, download Bayesian Methods for Collaborative Decision-Making.

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